Nvidia: The Blow-Off Top Ended, Be Prepared For What Is Next

Summary:

  • Nvidia Corporation just gained +70% in two months to become the #1 most valuable stock. This blow-off top has happened exactly as how my Cisco Model predicted in April.
  • Now this model is anticipating a decline which will happen in three phases. The first phase (today) will be very sharp. The second phase will be the largest.
  • Recent stock price behavior, insider sales and economic indicators increase the odds of this bubble collapse occurring.

Downward red business chart with arrows on blurry background. Crisis, recession and financial failure concept. 3D Rendering.

peshkov

“After a slow-down in March and early April, Nvidia would gain +40% in the next three months to reach a final blow-off top. That would be followed by little weakness first and a huge selloff by late 2024/early 2025.”

FY 2024 FY 2027 analyst forecast FY 2027 realistic projection
Sales $60.9 bln $182 bln $120 bln
Net margin 48.9% 54.0% 25%
Net profit $29.8 bln $98.4 bln $30 bln
EPS $1.19 $4.04 $1.2
P/E 113x 33.4x 113x


Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial short position in the shares of NVDA either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

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