AAL to Report Q4 Earnings: What’s in the Offing for the Stock?

  • American Airlines (AAL) is scheduled to announce Q4 earnings results on Tuesday, January 27th, before market opens.
  • The Street expects EPS of $0.35, a 59.3% Y/Y drop, alongside revenue of $14.03B, growing 2.4% year over year—about half the pace seen last year.
  • Susquehanna Financial raised the recommendation on American Airlines Group to positive from neutral as the analyst believes its revenue initiatives (e.g., growing premium products and new Citi co-brand deal) and network tactics will help support margin improvement into FY27.
  • SA analyst Pure Analytics has rated ‘Buy’ due to proactive debt reduction and margin-accretive strategies supporting free cash flow and multiple expansion. AAL trades at an 8.38x EV/EBITDA, a ~29% discount to the peer average, with potential for multiple re-rating as debt declines and margins improve. Implied stock price target is ~$50, suggesting ~233% upside from current levels as debt reduction and premiumization drive valuation.
  • Quant rates airline as hold with 3.41 score, while SA Analysts’ rating and Wall St. Analysts’ rating has a buy rating with 4.33 and 3.92 score respectively.
  • Over the last 2 years, AAL has beaten EPS estimates 88% of the time and has beaten revenue estimates 88% of the time.
  • Over the last 3 months, EPS estimates have seen 6 upward revisions and 8 downward. Revenue estimates have seen 6 upward revisions and 7 downward.

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