Shares of Adobe (ADBE) will be in focus Thursday after the closing bell as the multinational software firm reports its latest quarterly earnings results. The company’s stock has faced sustained pressure, reflecting a challenging period for the tech giant over the past year.
Adobe shares are currently trading near $270. From a performance standpoint, the stock has fallen roughly 22.7% year to date in 2026 and is down about 37.6% over the past 12 months.
As investors prepare for the earnings call, traders on prediction market Kalshi are placing probabilities on the themes and topics they expect management to highlight. Market participants are particularly focused on potential commentary surrounding artificial intelligence initiatives, product developments, and broader strategic priorities as the company outlines its outlook.
According to data from Kalshi, traders have assigned the following probabilities to key topics they expect Adobe management to address during the company’s upcoming earnings call:
- Generative AI / Gen AI — 96% chance.
- Semrush — 89% chance.
- LLM Optimizer — 84% chance.
- 3D — 69% chance.
- Firefly Video — 54% chance.
- YouTube — 46% chance.
- Holiday — 35% chance.
- Inference — 29% chance.
- Qualcomm — 20% chance.
- Humain — 19% chance.
- Google Cloud — 15% chance.
Top ETFs with allocations towards ADBE: (DUNK), (IGV), (CLOD), (FMET), (GGME), (PKW), (KWIN), (MFVL), (CVRD), and (KAT).