Adobe likely to see ‘moderating growth’ in Digital Media, Citi says

  • Adobe’s (ADBE) decision to remove Digital Media annual recurring revenue growth as a metric next year and replace it with total annual recurring revenue is a sign of “moderating growth,” Citi said.
  • “We see the new change as a sign of moderating growth in the [Digital Media] category with concerns of rising competition in [Creative Cloud],” analyst Tyler Radke wrote in a note to clients. “We expect to see ~10% total ARR growth for FY26 and some modest margin pressure with investments in inhouse AI initiatives and with [third-party large language models].”
  • Radke, who lowered his price target to $366 from $400, said he expects to hear more details on the Semrush (SEMR) acquisition and the “willingness to buy solutions in the DX category moving forward.”
  • Adobe is set to report its next fiscal quarterly results after the close of trading on Dec. 10. A consensus of analysts expect the company will earn $5.40 per share on $6.11B in revenue.

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