Apple: Insourcing Can Structurally Lift Gross Margins
Summary:
- My last ‘Buy’ view on Apple has been playing out, and recent developments have increased my confidence in the stock, prompting me to upgrade my stance to a ‘Strong Buy’.
- In-house manufacturing of networking components can reduce reliance on suppliers such as Broadcom and Qualcomm and boost long-term gross margins.
- AAPL trades at a premium vs comps but after 2 years of stagnant earnings expectations, it is seeing upgraded estimates in recent times.
- Relative technicals signal a breakout above previous highs following a period of consolidation/re-accumulation.
- iPhone sales have been broadly stagnant over the past 3 years. Apple plans to reinfuse growth via a launch of a premium foldable iPhone. However, I am a bit skeptical given higher adoption rates for lower-priced models in recent iPhone Series.
Performance Assessment
Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) (NEOE:AAPL:CA) has outperformed the S&P 500 (SPY) (SPX) (IVV) (VOO) since my initiating coverage on the stock:
Thesis
Recent developments have overall made me even more bullish on the stock, which is
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of AAPL, VOO either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
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