Devon: Missing Bullish Support – Unloved Status Triggers Rich Upside Potential

Summary:

  • The suspension of DVN’s variable dividends is only temporary in our view, pending a healthier balance sheet, as the management leans “in heavier on its share repurchase program” at these discounted stock prices.
  • If anything, its debt leverage ratio remains reasonable compared to the sector median and some of its peers, with it underscoring why the sell off has been overly done.
  • While the WTI crude oil spot prices may have moderated from pandemic heights, it is likely to remain well supported in the $70s, thanks to the prolonged OPEC+ cuts.
  • DVN’s rich Cash from Operations at $6.67B over the LTM underscores the management’s ability to pay down its debts rapidly while sustaining its shareholder returns ahead.
  • Combined with the oversold status, we believe that patient investors may look forward to a rich upside potential upon the reversal in sentiments. Get paid while waiting.

arrow dive into ground

JONGHO SHIN

DVN Is Inherently Undervalued – Offering Opportunistic Investors With Upside Potential

We previously covered Devon Energy (NYSE:DVN) in August 2024, discussing its robust performance metrics across the improved hedging result, significantly aided by the still elevated crude


Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

The analysis is provided exclusively for informational purposes and should not be considered professional investment advice. Before investing, please conduct personal in-depth research and utmost due diligence, as there are many risks associated with the trade, including capital loss.

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