If Robotaxi Is The Next Frontier, Either Tesla Or Google Is Completely Mispriced
Summary:
- Tesla’s valuation is significantly inflated due to speculative robotaxi prospects, while Alphabet’s Waymo has more grounded, albeit early-stage, revenue projections.
- Waymo’s $45B valuation seems more justified given its operational progress, yet it barely impacts Alphabet’s overall market cap.
- Tesla’s current market cap heavily relies on future robotaxi success, which remains uncertain and speculative.
- Alphabet appears undervalued, with potential for multiple expansion, especially if Waymo continues its growth trajectory.

TheaDesign
What I will be sharing today has made me think quite a bit about Mr. Market and its discrepancies. A two-fold dilemma stands before us investors, placing us before bifurcating paths. The case involves two mega-cap stocks, but only one can be justly judged or, in
Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of GOOG either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.
Seeking Alpha’s Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.