Starbucks’ China Deadlock Resolves In 2 Possible Ways

Summary:

  • Starbucks’ new CEO, Brian Niccol, is making swift changes but faces challenges in revitalizing the stagnant Chinese market amid intense local competition.
  • A potential joint venture in China could help Starbucks leverage local resources, expand its footprint, and return to growth in the region.
  • Despite promising developments, Starbucks’ current valuation at 32x forward PE suggests that the market has already priced in these expectations.
  • Given the uncertainties and current valuation, I maintain a Hold rating on Starbucks, pending concrete developments in its Chinese market strategy.

Causeway bay shopping district in Hong Kong

AsianDream/iStock Editorial via Getty Images

Investment Thesis

Come December 9th this year, Brian Niccol will only be completing his first quarter as the sixth CEO of Starbucks (NASDAQ:SBUX). But unlike his immediate predecessor, there will be no honeymoon


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