Apple: You Have Been Warned


  • Apple’s overexposure to China has become its major vulnerability.
  • While the company’s stock has a chance to further appreciate in the following months thanks to improvement in market sentiment, its upside remains limited in the long run.
  • Apple could become the next major casualty of the potential Sino-American confrontation in the future, which makes me avoid its stock at the current levels.

Apple Watch Available at Retail Locations

Eric Thayer

There is every reason to believe that Apple’s (NASDAQ:AAPL) stock could keep its momentum and appreciate further thanks to the change in market sentiment as now there’s a potential that we might avoid a global recession

Apple's Stock Performance

Apple’s Stock Performance (Seeking Alpha)

Apple's DCF Model

Apple’s DCF Model (Historical Data: Seeking Alpha, Assumptions: Author)

Apple's DCF Model

Apple’s DCF Model (Historical Data: Seeking Alpha, Assumptions: Author)

Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of GOOG either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article.

Additional disclosure: Bohdan Kucheriavyi and/or BlackSquare Capital is/are not a financial/investment advisor, broker, or dealer. He’s/It’s/They’re solely sharing personal experience and opinion; therefore, all strategies, tips, suggestions, and recommendations shared are solely for informational purposes. There are risks associated with investing in securities. Investing in stocks, bonds, options, exchange-traded funds, mutual funds, and money market funds involves the risk of loss. Loss of principal is possible. Some high-risk investments may use leverage, which will accentuate gains & losses. Foreign investing involves special risks, including greater volatility and political, economic, and currency risks and differences in accounting methods. A security’s or a firm’s past investment performance is not a guarantee or predictor of future investment performance.

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